In the 2020 election, President Joe Biden emphasized his connection to Pennsylvania, his birth state, when he won it. However, a recent survey indicates that this hometown pride may not have a significant impact on voters in the 2024 election. According to a poll conducted by Emerson College, Trump is currently ahead of Biden by a margin of 9 percentage points, with 45 percent of the support compared to Biden’s 36 percent. Spencer Kimball, the Executive Director of Emerson College Polling, noted that Trump garnered substantial backing from voters with a high school education or lower and those under 30 years of age.
The Emerson survey, which gathered responses from 430 Pennsylvania voters, was carried out from October 1 to October 4. It comes with a credibility interval, akin to a margin of error, of approximately plus or minus 4.7 percentage points.
In a recent Quinnipiac poll, it was revealed that Trump holds a slight advantage over Biden, with 47 percent of respondents favoring Trump and 45 percent favoring Biden.
Trump’s level of support remained consistent with a previous poll in June, while Biden’s support dipped by one percentage point. Regarding favorability ratings, Trump received a 40 percent approval rating, whereas Biden’s rating stood at 39 percent.
The survey, which involved 1,725 registered voters in Pennsylvania, took place from September 28 to October 2. The margin of error for this poll is approximately plus or minus 2.4 percentage points.
“It looks better and better for Donald Trump here, but there’s a lot of game to be played between now and then. I think the polls are showing people are not happy. Democrats, in fact, are not happy with the job that Joe Biden’s doing,” Jim Schultz, who served as White House counsel during the Trump administration, made this statement.
In the polls, it was revealed that Trump was in the lead with 44 percent to Biden’s 39 percent in Arizona, as well as in Florida, where Trump had 44 percent compared to Biden’s 39 percent. In Georgia, Trump held a 43 percent to 40 percent lead over Biden, and in North Carolina, he was ahead with 43 percent, while Biden had 38 percent.
The Telegraph’s surveys indicated a tie between Trump and Biden in Michigan, both with 41 percent, and showed Biden leading in Pennsylvania with 43 percent to Trump’s 42 percent. Unfortunately, The Telegraph did not provide information on margins of error. Notably, when the surveys factored in independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Trump’s lead expanded.